Monday 20 June 2011

Is your business plan insane?

In business planning, variance analysis is a way to sanity-check the assumptions underlying your plan



-          It compares the planned or forecast figure to the equivalent figure in a previous comparable period – usually the previous year

-          It expresses the difference as a percentage

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Previous year
Budget year
Variance
Assumptions
Volume of sales
600
660
+10%

Average unit price
£9.09
£10
+10%

Sales income
£5,454
£6,600


Average unit cost
£6
£6
0%

Direct costs
£3,600
£3,960


Salaries
£1,800
£1,800
0%

Rent
£720
£738
+2.5%

Net profit
(£666)
£102




-          Your wider business plan (strategy, market positioning, sales performance, supplier management and so forth) must then provide an explanation for any difference

-          This will expose any assumptions you have made and the potential impact on your business should they prove to be wrong

-          In the above example, the plan is based on increasing the number of sales as well as the price whilst holding unit costs and salaries to the previous year’s level

-          These might all be reasonable and achievable but a credible business plan must explain how and why these things are going to happen
  If you'd like to know more about developing a business plan then this event is for you.

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